Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.001144 1.296642e-03 0.001450 0.001617 0.001791 0.001968 0.002160
2025-05-25 0.000905 1.122098e-03 0.001349 0.001602 0.001875 0.002157 0.002470
2025-06-01 0.000687 9.441496e-04 0.001224 0.001546 0.001900 0.002274 0.002697
2025-06-08 0.000539 8.259447e-04 0.001151 0.001535 0.001967 0.002431 0.002961
2025-06-15 0.000458 7.761991e-04 0.001148 0.001597 0.002109 0.002667 0.003310
2025-06-22 0.000346 6.726628e-04 0.001073 0.001569 0.002147 0.002783 0.003524
2025-06-29 0.000271 6.080375e-04 0.001037 0.001583 0.002227 0.002944 0.003786
2025-07-06 0.000248 6.084545e-04 0.001080 0.001687 0.002411 0.003221 0.004175
2025-07-13 0.000179 5.320552e-04 0.001020 0.001663 0.002441 0.003320 0.004363
2025-07-20 0.000111 4.442182e-04 0.000936 0.001604 0.002427 0.003366 0.004489
2025-07-27 0.000085 4.190198e-04 0.000934 0.001646 0.002530 0.003545 0.004763
2025-08-03 0.000053 3.701072e-04 0.000895 0.001637 0.002570 0.003650 0.004952
2025-08-10 0.000010 2.715796e-04 0.000787 0.001553 0.002541 0.003699 0.005109
2025-08-17 NaN 2.088237e-04 0.000724 0.001526 0.002580 0.003831 0.005364
2025-08-24 NaN 1.408360e-04 0.000639 0.001462 0.002571 0.003905 0.005553
2025-08-31 NaN 9.982922e-05 0.000590 0.001446 0.002621 0.004048 0.005823
2025-09-07 NaN 8.560629e-05 0.000592 0.001502 0.002765 0.004304 0.006225
2025-09-14 NaN 5.225472e-05 0.000540 0.001473 0.002794 0.004421 0.006462
2025-09-21 NaN 3.430262e-05 0.000516 0.001485 0.002876 0.004600 0.006772
2025-09-28 NaN 3.520397e-05 0.000548 0.001585 0.003076 0.004925 0.007254
2025-10-05 NaN 1.634779e-05 0.000504 0.001561 0.003107 0.005040 0.007486
2025-10-12 NaN 2.253642e-06 0.000443 0.001504 0.003091 0.005095 0.007645
2025-10-19 NaN 3.572090e-07 0.000440 0.001544 0.003207 0.005313 0.007998